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Sevilla vs Alavés prediction

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SevillaAlavés

Skorbot's predicted score

49%Sevilla28%Draw22%Alavés

Skorbot's model gives Sevilla a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alavés 22%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–0 (14%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – Sevilla1.42
Expected goals – Alavés0.87
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score45%
Sevilla scores76%
Alavés scores58%
Sevilla leads at half-time35%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Sevilla 1–0 Alavés14%
Sevilla 1–1 Alavés13%
Sevilla 0–0 Alavés11%
Sevilla 2–0 Alavés10%
Sevilla 2–1 Alavés9%
Sevilla 0–1 Alavés8%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (Sevilla win) gets 49%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

Sevilla

LWLDL

1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 8–13

  • 1 Nov 2026Getafe (away)1–3
  • 26 Oct 2026Osasuna (home)2–0
  • 18 Oct 2026Real Madrid (away)1–4
  • 12 Oct 2026Levante (away)3–3
  • 19 Sep 2026Barcelona (home)1–3

Alavés

LDLLD

0W 2D 3L · 2 pts · goals 4–11

  • 31 Oct 2026Barcelona (away)1–6
  • 23 Oct 2026Málaga (home)1–1
  • 18 Oct 2026Celta de Vigo (away)1–2
  • 10 Oct 2026Atletico Madrid (home)1–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Athletic Club (away)0–0

Alavés is winless in 7. In 2,866 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 30%, drew 25%, lost 45%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Team news read by AI

  • InjurySevilla · ▼ negative (Source: Diario AS)
  • Fixture congestionSevilla · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • FormSevilla · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • InjurySevilla · ▼ negative (Source: ABC)
  • MoraleSevilla · ▼ negative (Source: Estadio Deportivo)
  • FormAlavés · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • MotivationAlavés · ▲ positive (Source: Diario de Noticias de Álava)
  • MoraleAlavés · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • Fixture congestionAlavés · ▲ positive (Source: ABC)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

SevillaAlavésMake your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win Sevilla vs Alavés?

The model's pick is Sevilla win with 49%. Probabilities: Sevilla 49%, draw 28%, Alavés 22%.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Alavés?

1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–0 at 14%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Sevilla vs Alavés?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 45%. Expected goals: Sevilla 1.42, Alavés 0.87.

What is the recent form of Sevilla and Alavés?

Sevilla: L W L D L (4 pts from the last 5). Alavés: L D L L D (2 pts).

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