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La Liga ·

Barcelona vs Alavés prediction

Finished

Skorbot's model gives Barcelona a 89% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Alavés 3%. Predicted score: 3–1. The single most likely exact score is 3–0 (11%). Final score: Barcelona 6–1 Alavés. The model's pick (Barcelona win) was correct.

Updated:

Result probabilities

89%Barcelona8%Draw3%Alavés

Strong pick (≥ 60%)

Goals

Expected goals – Barcelona3.53
Expected goals – Alavés0.64
Over 2.5 goals79%
Both teams score46%
Barcelona scores97%
Alavés scores47%
Barcelona leads at half-time70%

Last 5 matches

Barcelona

LWWWW

4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 19–7

  • 25 Oct 2026Real Madrid (home)1–2
  • 17 Oct 2026Real Betis (away)5–2
  • 10 Oct 2026Getafe (home)3–0
  • 19 Sep 2026Sevilla (away)3–1
  • 16 Sep 2026Racing Santander (home)7–2

Alavés

DLLDL

0W 2D 3L · 2 pts · goals 3–6

  • 23 Oct 2026Málaga (home)1–1
  • 18 Oct 2026Celta Vigo (away)1–2
  • 10 Oct 2026Atlético Madrid (home)1–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Athletic Club (away)0–0
  • 15 Sep 2026Valencia (home)0–1

Alavés is winless in 6. In 4,215 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 31%, drew 27%, lost 42%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Barcelona 3–0 Alavés11%
Barcelona 4–0 Alavés10%
Barcelona 2–0 Alavés10%
Barcelona 3–1 Alavés7%
Barcelona 5–0 Alavés7%
Barcelona 4–1 Alavés6%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (Barcelona win) gets 89%. When the favourite's probability was between 80% and 100%, it won 88% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • InjuryBarcelona · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN Deportes)
  • FormBarcelona · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
  • Fixture congestionBarcelona · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • FansBarcelona · ▼ negative (Source: EL PAÍS)
  • MoraleBarcelona · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
  • FormAlavés · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • Fixture congestionAlavés · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • MotivationAlavés · ▲ positive (Source: OneFootball)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

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Questions

Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés?

The model's pick is Barcelona win with 89%. Probabilities: Barcelona 89%, draw 8%, Alavés 3%.

What is the recent form of Barcelona and Alavés?

Barcelona: L W W W W (12 pts from the last 5). Alavés: D L L D L (2 pts).

Other matches on 31 Oct 2026