Celtic vs Dundee United prediction
Finished Venue: Celtic Park
Skorbot's model gives Celtic a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dundee United 10%. Predicted score: 2–0. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 (10%). Final score: Celtic 2–2 Dundee United. The model's pick (Celtic win) was wrong.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Celtic | 2.69 |
| Expected goals – Dundee United | 0.94 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
| Celtic scores | 93% |
| Dundee United scores | 61% |
| Celtic leads at half-time | 56% |
Last 5 matches
Celtic
4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 12–3
- 25 Oct 2026Hibernian (away)2–1
- 18 Oct 2026Heart of Midlothian (home)7–1
- 11 Oct 2026Motherwell (away)2–0
- 20 Sep 2026Rangers (home)0–1
- 9 Sep 2026St Johnstone (away)1–0
Dundee United
3W 2D 0L · 11 pts · goals 9–4
- 24 Oct 2026Aberdeen (home)3–2
- 17 Oct 2026St Johnstone (away)1–1
- 10 Oct 2026Hibernian (home)1–0
- 19 Sep 2026St Mirren (away)3–0
- 5 Sep 2026Falkirk (home)1–1
Celtic has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Dundee United is unbeaten in 5. In 6,048 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 41%, drew 27%, lost 32%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celtic 2–0 Dundee United | 10% |
| Celtic 2–1 Dundee United | 9% |
| Celtic 3–0 Dundee United | 9% |
| Celtic 3–1 Dundee United | 8% |
| Celtic 1–1 Dundee United | 7% |
| Celtic 1–0 Dundee United | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
The model's favourite (Celtic win) gets 74%. When the favourite's probability was between 70% and 80%, it won 78% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Questions
Who will win Celtic vs Dundee United?
The model's pick is Celtic win with 74%. Probabilities: Celtic 74%, draw 16%, Dundee United 10%.
What is the recent form of Celtic and Dundee United?
Celtic: W W W L W (12 pts from the last 5). Dundee United: W D W W D (11 pts).
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