Venezia vs Inter prediction
Finished Venue: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Skorbot's model gives Venezia a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Inter 71%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 (9%). Final score: Venezia 0–2 Inter. The model's pick (Inter win) was correct.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Venezia | 1.03 |
| Expected goals – Inter | 2.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
| Venezia scores | 64% |
| Inter scores | 93% |
| Venezia leads at half-time | 14% |
Last 5 matches
Venezia
1W 0D 4L · 3 pts · goals 4–10
- 25 Oct 2026Genoa (away)0–1
- 17 Oct 2026Napoli (home)1–0
- 12 Oct 2026Atalanta (away)1–3
- 19 Sep 2026Lazio (home)0–2
- 11 Sep 2026Fiorentina (home)2–4
Inter
4W 1D 0L · 13 pts · goals 15–7
- 25 Oct 2026Fiorentina (home)2–1
- 17 Oct 2026Bologna (away)3–1
- 10 Oct 2026Parma (home)3–0
- 19 Sep 2026AS Roma (away)2–2
- 14 Sep 2026Udinese (home)5–3
Inter has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Inter is unbeaten in 8. In 1,954 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 46%, drew 27%, lost 27%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Venezia 1–2 Inter | 9% |
| Venezia 0–2 Inter | 9% |
| Venezia 1–3 Inter | 8% |
| Venezia 0–3 Inter | 8% |
| Venezia 1–1 Inter | 7% |
| Venezia 0–1 Inter | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
The model's favourite (Inter win) gets 71%. When the favourite's probability was between 70% and 80%, it won 78% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Questions
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
The model's pick is Inter win with 71%. Probabilities: Venezia 12%, draw 17%, Inter 71%.
What is the recent form of Venezia and Inter?
Venezia: L W L L L (3 pts from the last 5). Inter: W W W D W (13 pts).
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