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Serie A ·

Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Finished Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Skorbot's model gives Genoa a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventus 56%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 0–1 (13%). Final score: Genoa 2–0 Juventus. The model's pick (Juventus win) was wrong.

Updated:

Result probabilities

18%Genoa25%Draw56%Juventus

Goals

Expected goals – Genoa0.85
Expected goals – Juventus1.66
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score47%
Genoa scores57%
Juventus scores81%
Genoa leads at half-time17%

Last 5 matches

Genoa

WLWLD

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 5–6

  • 25 Oct 2026Venezia (home)1–0
  • 17 Oct 2026AS Roma (away)0–2
  • 10 Oct 2026Fiorentina (home)2–1
  • 20 Sep 2026Parma (away)1–2
  • 12 Sep 2026Frosinone (home)1–1

Juventus

WLDWL

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 7–7

  • 25 Oct 2026Lecce (away)2–0
  • 18 Oct 2026Lazio (home)0–3
  • 11 Oct 2026Cagliari (away)1–1
  • 20 Sep 2026Atalanta (home)2–0
  • 13 Sep 2026Sassuolo (away)2–3

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Genoa 0–1 Juventus13%
Genoa 1–1 Juventus12%
Genoa 0–2 Juventus11%
Genoa 1–2 Juventus10%
Genoa 0–0 Juventus9%
Genoa 1–0 Juventus6%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (Juventus win) gets 56%. When the favourite's probability was between 55% and 60%, it won 61% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

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Questions

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

The model's pick is Juventus win with 56%. Probabilities: Genoa 18%, draw 25%, Juventus 56%.

What is the recent form of Genoa and Juventus?

Genoa: W L W L D (7 pts from the last 5). Juventus: W L D W L (7 pts).

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