Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Atlético Mineiro a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cruzeiro 40%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%). Final score: Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Cruzeiro. The model's pick (Cruzeiro win) was correct.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Atlético Mineiro | 1.32 |
| Expected goals – Cruzeiro | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
| Atlético Mineiro scores | 73% |
| Cruzeiro scores | 77% |
| Atlético Mineiro leads at half-time | 27% |
Last 5 matches
Atlético Mineiro
3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 8–6
- 26 Oct 2026Flamengo (away)2–3
- 17 Oct 2026Coritiba (home)1–0
- 11 Oct 2026Santos (home)2–1
- 8 Oct 2026Athletico Paranaense (away)2–2
- 3 Oct 2026Red Bull Bragantino (home)1–0
Cruzeiro
4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 12–7
- 23 Oct 2026Remo (home)1–0
- 18 Oct 2026Grêmio (away)4–2
- 13 Oct 2026Red Bull Bragantino (away)2–4
- 8 Oct 2026São Paulo (home)2–0
- 20 Sep 2026Vitória (away)3–1
Cruzeiro has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Cruzeiro | 12% |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–2 Cruzeiro | 9% |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Cruzeiro | 8% |
| Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Cruzeiro | 8% |
| Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Cruzeiro | 7% |
| Atlético Mineiro 0–0 Cruzeiro | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Cruzeiro win) gets 40%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- RotationAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: LANCE!)
- InjuryAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: Revista PLACAR)
- Fixture congestionAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN Brasil)
- SquadCruzeiro · ▲ positive (Source: Rede 98)
- Fixture congestionCruzeiro · ▲ positive (Source: ge)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?
The model's pick is Cruzeiro win with 40%. Probabilities: Atlético Mineiro 33%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 40%.
What is the recent form of Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro?
Atlético Mineiro: L W W D W (10 pts from the last 5). Cruzeiro: W W L W W (12 pts).
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
- 29 Oct 2026 · 23:00Vasco da Gama – FlamengoResult 1–4 · Predicted 0–1 ✓
- 30 Oct 2026 · 00:30Grêmio – Athletico ParanaenseResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓
- 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00Corinthians – MirassolResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓