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Brasileirão Série A ·

Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction

Finished

Skorbot's model gives Corinthians a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mirassol 22%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–0 (13%). Final score: Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol. The model's pick (Corinthians win) was correct.

Updated:

Result probabilities

51%Corinthians27%Draw22%Mirassol

Goals

Expected goals – Corinthians1.53
Expected goals – Mirassol0.90
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score47%
Corinthians scores78%
Mirassol scores59%
Corinthians leads at half-time37%

Last 5 matches

Corinthians

LDLLL

0W 1D 4L · 1 pts · goals 6–13

  • 24 Oct 2026Vasco da Gama (away)2–3
  • 19 Oct 2026Vitória (home)1–1
  • 11 Oct 2026Palmeiras (away)1–4
  • 7 Oct 2026Internacional (away)1–2
  • 20 Sep 2026Fluminense (home)1–3

Mirassol

DWLDW

2W 2D 1L · 8 pts · goals 6–3

  • 24 Oct 2026São Paulo (home)1–1
  • 16 Oct 2026Internacional (home)2–0
  • 11 Oct 2026Bahia (away)0–1
  • 7 Oct 2026Red Bull Bragantino (away)1–1
  • 19 Sep 2026Botafogo (home)2–0

Corinthians is winless in 10. In 3,354 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 26%, drew 25%, lost 48%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Corinthians 1–0 Mirassol13%
Corinthians 1–1 Mirassol13%
Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol10%
Corinthians 0–0 Mirassol9%
Corinthians 2–1 Mirassol9%
Corinthians 0–1 Mirassol7%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (Corinthians win) gets 51%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • InjuryCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: centredevils)
  • FormCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
  • MotivationCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: Meu Timão)
  • CoachCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN Brasil)
  • FansCorinthians · ▲ positive (Source: OneFootball)
  • SuspensionMirassol · ▲ positive (Source: ge)
  • FormMirassol · ▲ positive (Source: OneFootball)
  • MotivationMirassol · ▲ positive (Source: ge)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?

The model's pick is Corinthians win with 51%. Probabilities: Corinthians 51%, draw 27%, Mirassol 22%.

What is the recent form of Corinthians and Mirassol?

Corinthians: L D L L L (1 pts from the last 5). Mirassol: D W L D W (8 pts).

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