Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Newport County a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chesterfield 56%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%). Final score: Newport County 4–1 Chesterfield. The model's pick (Chesterfield win) was wrong.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Newport County | 0.96 |
| Expected goals – Chesterfield | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
| Newport County scores | 62% |
| Chesterfield scores | 83% |
| Newport County leads at half-time | 18% |
Last 5 matches
Newport County
1W 3D 1L · 6 pts · goals 4–4
- 24 Oct 2026Cheltenham Town (away)0–1
- 20 Oct 2026Rotherham United (away)2–2
- 17 Oct 2026York City (home)1–1
- 10 Oct 2026Colchester United (home)1–0
- 3 Oct 2026Gillingham (away)0–0
Chesterfield
2W 2D 1L · 8 pts · goals 12–7
- 24 Oct 2026Crewe Alexandra (home)5–1
- 20 Oct 2026Colchester United (home)1–1
- 17 Oct 2026Port Vale (away)0–1
- 10 Oct 2026Crawley Town (away)2–2
- 3 Oct 2026Tranmere Rovers (home)4–2
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newport County 1–1 Chesterfield | 12% |
| Newport County 0–1 Chesterfield | 11% |
| Newport County 0–2 Chesterfield | 10% |
| Newport County 1–2 Chesterfield | 10% |
| Newport County 0–0 Chesterfield | 7% |
| Newport County 0–3 Chesterfield | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
The model's favourite (Chesterfield win) gets 56%. When the favourite's probability was between 55% and 60%, it won 61% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryNewport County · ▼ negative (Source: BBC)
- InjuryNewport County · ▼ negative (Source: BBC)
- FormNewport County · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- MoraleNewport County · ▲ positive (Source: South Wales Argus)
- FormChesterfield · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
- MoraleChesterfield · ▲ positive (Source: Derbyshire Times)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Newport County vs Chesterfield?
The model's pick is Chesterfield win with 56%. Probabilities: Newport County 20%, draw 24%, Chesterfield 56%.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Chesterfield?
Newport County: L D D W D (6 pts from the last 5). Chesterfield: W D L D W (8 pts).
Other matches on 30 Oct 2026
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- 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00Grenoble – DijonLigue 2 (France)Result 1–3 · Predicted 0–1 ✓
- 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00Metz – PauLigue 2 (France)Result 1–3 · Predicted 1–0 ✗
- 30 Oct 2026 · 19:45Dundalk – Shamrock RoversPremier Division (Ireland)Result 3–1 · Predicted 1–2 ✗
- 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00Corinthians – MirassolBrasileirão Série AResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓