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Derby vs Norwich prediction

Championship (England) Upcoming

DerbyNorwich

Skorbot's predicted score

30%Derby26%Draw44%Norwich

Skorbot's model gives Derby a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Norwich 44%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Match preview

Derby have failed to win in their last 5 matches, conceding 11 goals in that span. Norwich have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 7 goals. The AI predicts a 2-1 away win for Norwich.

Written by AI from match data (recent form, table, previous meetings) and checked automatically; it contains no news.

Goals

Expected goals – Derby1.29
Expected goals – Norwich1.63
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score59%
Derby scores73%
Norwich scores80%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Derby 1–1 Norwich12%
Derby 1–2 Norwich9%
Derby 0–1 Norwich8%
Derby 2–1 Norwich7%
Derby 0–2 Norwich7%
Derby 0–0 Norwich6%

Last 5 matches

Derby

LDLLD

0W 2D 3L · 2 pts · goals 4–11

  • 31 Oct 2026Millwall (away)1–4
  • 24 Oct 2026Sheffield Utd (away)1–1
  • 17 Oct 2026Stoke (home)0–1
  • 14 Oct 2026QPR (away)1–4
  • 10 Oct 2026Wrexham (home)1–1

Norwich

WWLLL

2W 0D 3L · 6 pts · goals 7–7

  • 31 Oct 2026Watford (home)3–2
  • 24 Oct 2026Charlton (away)3–1
  • 17 Oct 2026Portsmouth (home)0–1
  • 14 Oct 2026Southampton (home)0–1
  • 10 Oct 2026Swansea (away)1–2

Derby is winless in 9. In 1,364 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 31%, drew 24%, lost 45%.

Norwich has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

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Questions

Who will win Derby vs Norwich?

The model's pick is Norwich win with 44%. Probabilities: Derby 30%, draw 26%, Norwich 44%.

What is the predicted score for Derby vs Norwich?

1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Derby vs Norwich?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%. Expected goals: Derby 1.29, Norwich 1.63.

What is the recent form of Derby and Norwich?

Derby: L D L L D (2 pts from the last 5). Norwich: W W L L L (6 pts).

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