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Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction

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PortsmouthSwansea

Skorbot's predicted score

35%Portsmouth30%Draw35%Swansea

Skorbot's model gives Portsmouth a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Swansea 35%. Predicted score: 1–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (14%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Match preview

Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last five (3W, 2D) and look solid at home. Swansea sit 3rd with 26 points from 13 games and have won two of the last three head-to-heads. The AI predicts a 1-1 draw, but the most likely outcome is a Swansea win.

Written by AI from match data (recent form, table, previous meetings) and checked automatically; it contains no news.

Goals

Expected goals – Portsmouth1.21
Expected goals – Swansea1.22
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score51%
Portsmouth scores70%
Swansea scores70%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea14%
Portsmouth 0–0 Swansea10%
Portsmouth 0–1 Swansea10%
Portsmouth 1–0 Swansea10%
Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea8%
Portsmouth 2–1 Swansea8%

Last 5 matches

Portsmouth

DWDWW

3W 2D 0L · 11 pts · goals 7–4

  • 31 Oct 2026Burnley (away)0–0
  • 24 Oct 2026Millwall (home)2–1
  • 20 Oct 2026Wolves (away)1–1
  • 17 Oct 2026Norwich (away)1–0
  • 14 Oct 2026Sheffield Utd (home)3–2

Swansea

WLLWW

3W 0D 2L · 9 pts · goals 7–7

  • 31 Oct 2026Blackburn (home)4–0
  • 24 Oct 2026QPR (away)0–5
  • 17 Oct 2026West Ham (home)0–1
  • 13 Oct 2026Millwall (away)1–0
  • 10 Oct 2026Norwich (home)2–1

Portsmouth is unbeaten in 5. In 6,048 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 41%, drew 27%, lost 32%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

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Questions

Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?

The model's pick is Swansea win with 35%. Probabilities: Portsmouth 35%, draw 30%, Swansea 35%.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Swansea?

1–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 14%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Portsmouth vs Swansea?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 51%. Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.21, Swansea 1.22.

What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Swansea?

Portsmouth: D W D W W (11 pts from the last 5). Swansea: W L L W W (9 pts).

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