Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Manchester United a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS Roma 35%. Predicted score: 2–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (11%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Manchester United | 1.66 |
| Expected goals – AS Roma | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
| Manchester United scores | 81% |
| AS Roma scores | 79% |
| Manchester United leads at half-time | 32% |
Last 5 matches
Manchester United
1W 0D 2L · 3 pts · goals 5–6
- 21 Oct 2026Como 1907 (away)1–4
- 13 Oct 2026Atletico Madrid (away)0–2
- 10 Sep 2026Sabah FK (home)4–0
AS Roma
1W 1D 1L · 4 pts · goals 8–5
- 20 Oct 2026ŠK Slovan Bratislava (home)4–0
- 14 Oct 2026Real Madrid (home)3–4
- 10 Sep 2026Fenerbahçe (away)1–1
Manchester United has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester United 1–1 AS Roma | 11% |
| Manchester United 2–1 AS Roma | 9% |
| Manchester United 1–2 AS Roma | 8% |
| Manchester United 2–2 AS Roma | 7% |
| Manchester United 1–0 AS Roma | 6% |
| Manchester United 0–1 AS Roma | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Manchester United win) gets 40%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryManchester United · ▼ negative (Source: London Evening Standard)
- CoachManchester United · ▼ negative (Source: Yahoo)
- FormManchester United · ▼ negative (Source: Manchester Evening News)
- RotationManchester United · ▼ negative (Source: roundtable.io)
- Fixture congestionManchester United · ▼ negative (Source: Manchester Evening News)
- InjuryAS Roma · ▼ negative (Source: The False 9)
- FormAS Roma · ▲ positive (Source: Stretty News)
- MoraleAS Roma · ▼ negative (Source: roundtable.io)
- Fixture congestionAS Roma · ▼ negative (Source: Stretty News)
- MotivationAS Roma · ▲ positive (Source: Chiesa Di Totti)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
The model's pick is Manchester United win with 40%. Probabilities: Manchester United 40%, draw 24%, AS Roma 35%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs AS Roma?
2–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 11%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs AS Roma?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%. Expected goals: Manchester United 1.66, AS Roma 1.55.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and AS Roma?
Manchester United: L L W (3 pts from the last 5). AS Roma: W L D (4 pts).
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