Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Villarreal a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris Saint Germain 61%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 (10%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Villarreal | 1.24 |
| Expected goals – Paris Saint Germain | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
| Villarreal scores | 71% |
| Paris Saint Germain scores | 90% |
| Villarreal leads at half-time | 19% |
Last 5 matches
Villarreal
1W 0D 2L · 3 pts · goals 8–8
- 20 Oct 2026Liverpool (away)3–4
- 13 Oct 2026Napoli (home)3–1
- 8 Sep 2026Borussia Dortmund (away)2–3
Paris Saint Germain
3W 0D 0L · 9 pts · goals 14–5
- 20 Oct 2026Barcelona (home)4–2
- 14 Oct 2026Manchester City (away)4–2
- 9 Sep 2026ŠK Slovan Bratislava (home)6–1
Paris Saint Germain has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Villarreal 1–2 Paris Saint Germain | 10% |
| Villarreal 1–1 Paris Saint Germain | 9% |
| Villarreal 0–2 Paris Saint Germain | 8% |
| Villarreal 1–3 Paris Saint Germain | 7% |
| Villarreal 0–1 Paris Saint Germain | 6% |
| Villarreal 2–2 Paris Saint Germain | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
High confidence
The model's favourite (Paris Saint Germain win) gets 61%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryVillarreal · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
- FormVillarreal · ▼ negative (Source: LiveScore)
- MoraleVillarreal · ▼ negative (Source: LiveScore)
- InjuryParis Saint Germain · ▼ negative (Source: Kuwait Times)
- InjuryParis Saint Germain · ▲ positive (Source: Yahoo Sports)
- SquadParis Saint Germain · ▲ positive (Source: The False 9)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model's pick is Paris Saint Germain win with 61%. Probabilities: Villarreal 19%, draw 20%, Paris Saint Germain 61%.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 at 10%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 64%. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.24, Paris Saint Germain 2.30.
What is the recent form of Villarreal and Paris Saint Germain?
Villarreal: L W L (3 pts from the last 5). Paris Saint Germain: W W W (9 pts).
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