FC Porto vs Napoli prediction
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Skorbot's model gives FC Porto a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Napoli 26%. Predicted score: 2–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – FC Porto | 1.67 |
| Expected goals – Napoli | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
| FC Porto scores | 81% |
| Napoli scores | 69% |
| FC Porto leads at half-time | 36% |
Last 5 matches
FC Porto
0W 0D 3L · 0 pts · goals 2–6
- 20 Oct 2026PSV Eindhoven (home)0–1
- 14 Oct 2026Real Betis Balompié (away)2–3
- 8 Sep 2026Manchester City (home)0–2
Napoli
1W 0D 2L · 3 pts · goals 5–7
- 20 Oct 2026Bodo/Glimt (home)4–3
- 13 Oct 2026Villarreal (away)1–3
- 9 Sep 2026Arsenal (home)0–1
FC Porto has lost 3 in a row. In 5,462 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 32%, drew 25%, lost 43%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Porto 1–1 Napoli | 12% |
| FC Porto 2–1 Napoli | 10% |
| FC Porto 1–0 Napoli | 9% |
| FC Porto 2–0 Napoli | 8% |
| FC Porto 1–2 Napoli | 7% |
| FC Porto 0–0 Napoli | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (FC Porto win) gets 48%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryFC Porto · ▼ negative (Source: The Peoples Person)
- Fixture congestionFC Porto · ▼ negative (Source: Footboom)
- RotationFC Porto · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
- InjuryNapoli · ▼ negative (Source: La Gazzetta dello Sport)
- InjuryNapoli · ▼ negative (Source: La Gazzetta dello Sport)
- InjuryNapoli · ▼ negative (Source: YSscores)
- MoraleNapoli · ▼ negative (Source: Football Italia)
- Fixture congestionNapoli · ▼ negative (Source: LiveScore)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?
The model's pick is FC Porto win with 48%. Probabilities: FC Porto 48%, draw 25%, Napoli 26%.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto vs Napoli?
2–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Napoli?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 57%. Expected goals: FC Porto 1.67, Napoli 1.18.
What is the recent form of FC Porto and Napoli?
FC Porto: L L L (0 pts from the last 5). Napoli: W L L (3 pts).
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