Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Athletico Paranaense a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vasco da Gama 29%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Athletico Paranaense | 1.48 |
| Expected goals – Vasco da Gama | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
| Athletico Paranaense scores | 77% |
| Vasco da Gama scores | 69% |
| Athletico Paranaense leads at half-time | 33% |
Last 5 matches
Athletico Paranaense
1W 2D 2L · 5 pts · goals 7–8
- 30 Oct 2026Grêmio (away)0–2
- 24 Oct 2026Vitória (away)1–1
- 17 Oct 2026Palmeiras (home)0–2
- 12 Oct 2026Chapecoense (away)4–1
- 8 Oct 2026Atlético Mineiro (home)2–2
Vasco da Gama
2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 6–8
- 29 Oct 2026Flamengo (home)1–4
- 24 Oct 2026Corinthians (home)3–2
- 18 Oct 2026São Paulo (away)0–1
- 10 Oct 2026Remo (home)0–0
- 7 Oct 2026Botafogo (away)2–1
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Vasco da Gama | 13% |
| Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Vasco da Gama | 10% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–1 Vasco da Gama | 9% |
| Athletico Paranaense 2–0 Vasco da Gama | 8% |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–0 Vasco da Gama | 8% |
| Athletico Paranaense 0–1 Vasco da Gama | 8% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Athletico Paranaense win) gets 44%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- Club managementAthletico Paranaense · ▼ negative (Source: CNN Brasil)
- FormAthletico Paranaense · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- FansAthletico Paranaense · ▼ negative (Source: CNN Brasil)
- OtherAthletico Paranaense · ▼ negative (Source: Bem Paraná)
- Fixture congestionAthletico Paranaense · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionVasco da Gama · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- InjuryVasco da Gama · ▼ negative (Source: O TEMPO)
- FormVasco da Gama · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- SuspensionVasco da Gama · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball)
- CoachVasco da Gama · ▼ negative (Source: GZH)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
The model's pick is Athletico Paranaense win with 44%. Probabilities: Athletico Paranaense 44%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 29%.
What is the predicted score for Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 13%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%. Expected goals: Athletico Paranaense 1.48, Vasco da Gama 1.16.
What is the recent form of Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama?
Athletico Paranaense: L D L W D (5 pts from the last 5). Vasco da Gama: L W L D W (7 pts).
More Brasileirão Série A predictions
- 30 Oct 2026 · 00:30Grêmio – Athletico ParanaenseResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓
- 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00Corinthians – MirassolResult 2–0 · Predicted 1–0 ✓
- 2 Nov 2026 · 23:00Bragantino – SantosBragantino win 49% · 2–1
- 3 Nov 2026 · 22:30Chapecoense – MirassolMirassol win 49% · 1–2
- 4 Nov 2026 · 00:30Internacional – CoritibaInternacional win 60% · 1–0 Strong pick (≥ 60%)
- 4 Nov 2026 · 22:30Flamengo – GrêmioFlamengo win 83% · 3–1 Strong pick (≥ 60%)