Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction
Championship (England) Upcoming
Skorbot's predicted score
Skorbot's model gives Wrexham a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 50%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).
Updated:
This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.
Match preview
Wrexham have won just once in their last five matches and sit mid-table with 14 points. Middlesbrough are top with 28 points and unbeaten in five. AI prediction: Wrexham 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Written by AI from match data (recent form, table, previous meetings) and checked automatically; it contains no news.
Goals
| Expected goals – Wrexham | 1.21 |
| Expected goals – Middlesbrough | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
| Wrexham scores | 70% |
| Middlesbrough scores | 84% |
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wrexham 1–1 Middlesbrough | 12% |
| Wrexham 1–2 Middlesbrough | 10% |
| Wrexham 0–1 Middlesbrough | 8% |
| Wrexham 0–2 Middlesbrough | 8% |
| Wrexham 2–1 Middlesbrough | 6% |
| Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough | 6% |
Last 5 matches
Wrexham
1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 6–7
- 30 Oct 2026Sheffield Utd (away)0–1
- 24 Oct 2026Blackburn (away)0–2
- 17 Oct 2026Preston (home)4–1
- 13 Oct 2026West Brom (home)1–2
- 10 Oct 2026Derby (away)1–1
Middlesbrough
4W 1D 0L · 13 pts · goals 14–5
- 31 Oct 2026Charlton (home)3–0
- 23 Oct 2026Bolton (away)5–1
- 17 Oct 2026Cardiff (home)2–2
- 13 Oct 2026Stoke (away)3–2
- 10 Oct 2026Wolves (home)1–0
Wrexham has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.
Middlesbrough has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.
Middlesbrough is unbeaten in 11. In 4,728 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 55%, drew 24%, lost 21%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Questions
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
The model's pick is Middlesbrough win with 50%. Probabilities: Wrexham 25%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 50%.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%. Expected goals: Wrexham 1.21, Middlesbrough 1.80.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Middlesbrough?
Wrexham: L L W L D (4 pts from the last 5). Middlesbrough: W W D W W (13 pts).
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