Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Fenerbahçe a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Liverpool 63%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 (10%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Fenerbahçe | 1.05 |
| Expected goals – Liverpool | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
| Fenerbahçe scores | 65% |
| Liverpool scores | 89% |
| Fenerbahçe leads at half-time | 17% |
Last 5 matches
Fenerbahçe
0W 2D 1L · 2 pts · goals 3–9
- 20 Oct 2026Slavia Praha (home)2–2
- 14 Oct 2026Aston Villa (away)0–6
- 10 Sep 2026AS Roma (home)1–1
Liverpool
3W 0D 0L · 9 pts · goals 12–7
- 20 Oct 2026Villarreal (home)4–3
- 14 Oct 2026LASK Linz (away)6–3
- 9 Sep 2026Atletico Madrid (home)2–1
Liverpool has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 1–2 Liverpool | 10% |
| Fenerbahçe 0–2 Liverpool | 9% |
| Fenerbahçe 1–1 Liverpool | 9% |
| Fenerbahçe 0–1 Liverpool | 8% |
| Fenerbahçe 1–3 Liverpool | 7% |
| Fenerbahçe 0–3 Liverpool | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
High confidence
The model's favourite (Liverpool win) gets 63%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: turkish-football.com)
- CoachFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: beIN SPORTS)
- SuspensionFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: Haberler.com)
- InjuryFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: Haberler.com)
- FormFenerbahçe · ▲ positive (Source: turkish football)
- InjuryLiverpool · ▼ negative (Source: London Evening Standard)
- SquadLiverpool · ▼ negative (Source: Liverpool Echo)
- Fixture congestionLiverpool · ▼ negative (Source: KopTalk)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
The model's pick is Liverpool win with 63%. Probabilities: Fenerbahçe 16%, draw 20%, Liverpool 63%.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 at 10%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 58%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 1.05, Liverpool 2.20.
What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Liverpool?
Fenerbahçe: D L D (2 pts from the last 5). Liverpool: W W W (9 pts).
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