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UEFA Europa League ·

AZ vs Juventus prediction

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Skorbot's model gives AZ a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventus 48%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%).

Updated:

Result probabilities

26%AZ27%Draw48%Juventus

Goals

Expected goals – AZ1.07
Expected goals – Juventus1.55
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score52%
AZ scores66%
Juventus scores79%
AZ leads at half-time22%

Last 5 matches

AZ

WWL

2W 0D 1L · 6 pts · goals 6–2

  • 22 Oct 2026Ararat-Armenia FA (away)4–0
  • 15 Oct 2026MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (home)2–1
  • 16 Sep 2026Sunderland (away)0–1

Juventus

DWW

2W 1D 0L · 7 pts · goals 9–3

  • 22 Oct 2026Stade Rennais FC 1901 (home)2–2
  • 15 Oct 2026Celta de Vigo (away)2–1
  • 17 Sep 2026NEC (home)5–0

AZ has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
AZ 1–1 Juventus13%
AZ 0–1 Juventus11%
AZ 1–2 Juventus9%
AZ 0–2 Juventus9%
AZ 0–0 Juventus8%
AZ 1–0 Juventus7%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (Juventus win) gets 48%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Questions

Who will win AZ vs Juventus?

The model's pick is Juventus win with 48%. Probabilities: AZ 26%, draw 27%, Juventus 48%.

What is the predicted score for AZ vs Juventus?

0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 13%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in AZ vs Juventus?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 52%. Expected goals: AZ 1.07, Juventus 1.55.

What is the recent form of AZ and Juventus?

AZ: W W L (6 pts from the last 5). Juventus: D W W (7 pts).

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