SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs NK Celje prediction
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Skorbot's model gives SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NK Celje 16%. Predicted score: 2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 (10%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz | 2.12 |
| Expected goals – NK Celje | 0.98 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz scores | 88% |
| NK Celje scores | 62% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz leads at half-time | 47% |
Last 5 matches
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz
1W 1D 1L · 4 pts · goals 1–3
- 22 Oct 2026Olympique de Marseille (home)1–0
- 15 Oct 2026AFC Bournemouth (away)0–3
- 16 Sep 2026Stade Rennais FC 1901 (home)0–0
NK Celje
0W 1D 2L · 1 pts · goals 2–7
- 22 Oct 2026FC Red Bull Salzburg (home)2–2
- 15 Oct 2026Omonia Nicosia (home)0–3
- 16 Sep 2026Bayer 04 Leverkusen (away)0–2
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2–0 NK Celje | 10% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2–1 NK Celje | 10% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1–1 NK Celje | 10% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1–0 NK Celje | 9% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 3–0 NK Celje | 7% |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 3–1 NK Celje | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
High confidence
The model's favourite (SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win) gets 63%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- Fixture congestionSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- FormSK Puntigamer Sturm Graz · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
- FormNK Celje · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionNK Celje · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs NK Celje?
The model's pick is SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win with 63%. Probabilities: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 63%, draw 21%, NK Celje 16%.
What is the predicted score for SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs NK Celje?
2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 at 10%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs NK Celje?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2.12, NK Celje 0.98.
What is the recent form of SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and NK Celje?
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: W L D (4 pts from the last 5). NK Celje: D L L (1 pts).
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