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UEFA Europa League ·

SC União Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia FA prediction

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Skorbot's model gives SC União Torreense a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia FA 20%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).

Updated:

Result probabilities

54%SC União Torreense25%Draw20%Ararat-Armenia FA

Goals

Expected goals – SC União Torreense1.69
Expected goals – Ararat-Armenia FA0.94
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score50%
SC União Torreense scores82%
Ararat-Armenia FA scores61%
SC União Torreense leads at half-time40%

Last 5 matches

SC União Torreense

LLW

1W 0D 2L · 3 pts · goals 4–7

  • 22 Oct 2026Ferencvárosi TC (away)1–4
  • 15 Oct 2026Sunderland (home)1–2
  • 17 Sep 2026Lillestrøm (away)2–1

Ararat-Armenia FA

LLL

0W 0D 3L · 0 pts · goals 2–11

  • 22 Oct 2026AZ (home)0–4
  • 15 Oct 2026Jagiellonia Białystok (away)1–3
  • 16 Sep 2026AC Sparta Praha (home)1–4

SC União Torreense has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.

Ararat-Armenia FA has lost 3 in a row. In 5,462 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 32%, drew 25%, lost 43%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
SC União Torreense 1–1 Ararat-Armenia FA12%
SC União Torreense 1–0 Ararat-Armenia FA12%
SC União Torreense 2–0 Ararat-Armenia FA10%
SC União Torreense 2–1 Ararat-Armenia FA10%
SC União Torreense 0–0 Ararat-Armenia FA8%
SC União Torreense 0–1 Ararat-Armenia FA6%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (SC União Torreense win) gets 54%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • MoraleSC União Torreense · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • MoraleArarat-Armenia FA · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • Fixture congestionArarat-Armenia FA · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • MotivationArarat-Armenia FA · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win SC União Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia FA?

The model's pick is SC União Torreense win with 54%. Probabilities: SC União Torreense 54%, draw 25%, Ararat-Armenia FA 20%.

What is the predicted score for SC União Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia FA?

1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in SC União Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia FA?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 50%. Expected goals: SC União Torreense 1.69, Ararat-Armenia FA 0.94.

What is the recent form of SC União Torreense and Ararat-Armenia FA?

SC União Torreense: L L W (3 pts from the last 5). Ararat-Armenia FA: L L L (0 pts).

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