Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de Marseille prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Olympique de Marseille 13%. Predicted score: 2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 (9%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2.49 |
| Expected goals – Olympique de Marseille | 1.04 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen scores | 92% |
| Olympique de Marseille scores | 65% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen leads at half-time | 52% |
Last 5 matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 0D 0L · 9 pts · goals 8–0
- 22 Oct 2026OFI (away)2–0
- 15 Oct 2026Lech Poznan (away)4–0
- 16 Sep 2026NK Celje (home)2–0
Olympique de Marseille
0W 0D 3L · 0 pts · goals 1–6
- 22 Oct 2026SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz (away)0–1
- 15 Oct 2026Olympiakós SFP (home)0–1
- 17 Sep 2026Beşiktaş (away)1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Olympique de Marseille has lost 3 in a row. In 5,462 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 32%, drew 25%, lost 43%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 Olympique de Marseille | 9% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 Olympique de Marseille | 9% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Olympique de Marseille | 8% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Olympique de Marseille | 8% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 Olympique de Marseille | 8% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 Olympique de Marseille | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
High confidence
The model's favourite (Bayer 04 Leverkusen win) gets 69%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- FormBayer 04 Leverkusen · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionBayer 04 Leverkusen · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- FormOlympique de Marseille · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- FormOlympique de Marseille · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionOlympique de Marseille · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de Marseille?
The model's pick is Bayer 04 Leverkusen win with 69%. Probabilities: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 69%, draw 18%, Olympique de Marseille 13%.
What is the predicted score for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de Marseille?
2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 at 9%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de Marseille?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 60%. Expected goals: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.49, Olympique de Marseille 1.04.
What is the recent form of Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille?
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: W W W (9 pts from the last 5). Olympique de Marseille: L L L (0 pts).
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