Lincoln City vs Birmingham City prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Lincoln City a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Birmingham City 43%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%). Final score: Lincoln City 1–3 Birmingham City. The model's pick (Birmingham City win) was correct.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Lincoln City | 1.18 |
| Expected goals – Birmingham City | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
| Lincoln City scores | 69% |
| Birmingham City scores | 77% |
| Lincoln City leads at half-time | 24% |
Last 5 matches
Lincoln City
1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 7–14
- 24 Oct 2026Burnley (home)4–1
- 17 Oct 2026Millwall (away)2–2
- 14 Oct 2026West Ham United (home)0–6
- 10 Oct 2026Sheffield United (away)0–3
- 19 Sep 2026Swansea City (home)1–2
Birmingham City
3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 10–3
- 24 Oct 2026Cardiff City (away)0–1
- 17 Oct 2026Queens Park Rangers (home)3–0
- 13 Oct 2026Preston North End (home)4–0
- 10 Oct 2026West Bromwich Albion (away)1–0
- 19 Sep 2026Middlesbrough (home)2–2
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lincoln City 1–1 Birmingham City | 13% |
| Lincoln City 0–1 Birmingham City | 10% |
| Lincoln City 1–2 Birmingham City | 9% |
| Lincoln City 1–0 Birmingham City | 8% |
| Lincoln City 0–0 Birmingham City | 8% |
| Lincoln City 0–2 Birmingham City | 8% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Birmingham City win) gets 43%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- FormLincoln City · ▲ positive (Source: OneFootball)
- InjuryLincoln City · ▼ negative (Source: The Stacey West)
- MotivationLincoln City · ▲ positive (Source: The Stacey West)
- FansLincoln City · ▲ positive (Source: The Stacey West)
- FormBirmingham City · ▲ positive (Source: BBC)
- InjuryBirmingham City · ▲ positive (Source: The Stacey West)
- MoraleBirmingham City · ▼ negative (Source: The Stacey West)
- InjuryBirmingham City · ▼ negative (Source: The72)
- SquadBirmingham City · ▲ positive (Source: Football League World)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Lincoln City vs Birmingham City?
The model's pick is Birmingham City win with 43%. Probabilities: Lincoln City 30%, draw 27%, Birmingham City 43%.
What is the recent form of Lincoln City and Birmingham City?
Lincoln City: W D L L L (4 pts from the last 5). Birmingham City: L W W W D (10 pts).
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