Kocaelispor vs Çaykur Rizespor prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Kocaelispor a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Çaykur Rizespor 39%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%). Final score: Kocaelispor 0–0 Çaykur Rizespor. The model's pick (Çaykur Rizespor win) was wrong.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Kocaelispor | 1.26 |
| Expected goals – Çaykur Rizespor | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
| Kocaelispor scores | 72% |
| Çaykur Rizespor scores | 75% |
| Kocaelispor leads at half-time | 27% |
Last 5 matches
Kocaelispor
2W 0D 3L · 6 pts · goals 6–6
- 23 Oct 2026Alanyaspor (away)2–1
- 18 Oct 2026Göztepe (home)1–2
- 11 Oct 2026Beşiktaş (away)1–2
- 19 Sep 2026Gaziantep FK (home)2–0
- 13 Sep 2026Galatasaray (away)0–1
Çaykur Rizespor
1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 8–11
- 26 Oct 2026Trabzonspor (home)3–4
- 16 Oct 2026Çorum FK (away)1–2
- 10 Oct 2026Fenerbahçe (home)0–3
- 20 Sep 2026Göztepe (away)2–2
- 12 Sep 2026Eyüpspor (away)2–0
Çaykur Rizespor has lost 3 in a row. In 5,462 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 32%, drew 25%, lost 43%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kocaelispor 1–1 Çaykur Rizespor | 13% |
| Kocaelispor 0–1 Çaykur Rizespor | 9% |
| Kocaelispor 1–2 Çaykur Rizespor | 9% |
| Kocaelispor 1–0 Çaykur Rizespor | 8% |
| Kocaelispor 2–1 Çaykur Rizespor | 8% |
| Kocaelispor 0–0 Çaykur Rizespor | 8% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Çaykur Rizespor win) gets 39%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryKocaelispor · ▼ negative (Source: Kocaeli Gazetesi)
- SuspensionÇaykur Rizespor · ▼ negative (Source: 2 Mart Gazetesi)
- CoachÇaykur Rizespor · ▼ negative (Source: Çağdaş Kocaeli Gazetesi)
- MotivationÇaykur Rizespor · ▲ positive (Source: Taka Gazete)
- Fixture congestionÇaykur Rizespor · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Çaykur Rizespor?
The model's pick is Çaykur Rizespor win with 39%. Probabilities: Kocaelispor 33%, draw 27%, Çaykur Rizespor 39%.
What is the recent form of Kocaelispor and Çaykur Rizespor?
Kocaelispor: W L L W L (6 pts from the last 5). Çaykur Rizespor: L L L D W (4 pts).
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