Peterborough United vs Luton Town prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Peterborough United a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luton Town 50%. Predicted score: 2–3. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (10%). Final score: Peterborough United 0–2 Luton Town. The model's pick (Luton Town win) was correct.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Peterborough United | 1.44 |
| Expected goals – Luton Town | 1.97 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
| Peterborough United scores | 76% |
| Luton Town scores | 86% |
| Peterborough United leads at half-time | 25% |
Last 5 matches
Peterborough United
1W 2D 2L · 5 pts · goals 7–9
- 24 Oct 2026Bromley (away)1–1
- 20 Oct 2026Huddersfield Town (away)1–4
- 17 Oct 2026Burton Albion (home)2–2
- 10 Oct 2026Leicester City (away)3–1
- 26 Sep 2026Stockport County (away)0–1
Luton Town
4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 12–6
- 27 Oct 2026Doncaster Rovers (home)3–1
- 24 Oct 2026Leicester City (home)2–1
- 20 Oct 2026Barnsley (home)2–1
- 17 Oct 2026Milton Keynes Dons (away)1–2
- 10 Oct 2026Wycombe Wanderers (away)4–1
Luton Town has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Peterborough United 1–1 Luton Town | 10% |
| Peterborough United 1–2 Luton Town | 9% |
| Peterborough United 2–1 Luton Town | 7% |
| Peterborough United 2–2 Luton Town | 7% |
| Peterborough United 0–2 Luton Town | 6% |
| Peterborough United 1–3 Luton Town | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Luton Town win) gets 50%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- SuspensionPeterborough United · ▼ negative (Source: Dave.Sport)
- InjuryPeterborough United · ▼ negative (Source: Peterborough Telegraph)
- RotationPeterborough United · ▼ negative (Source: Peterborough Telegraph)
- FormPeterborough United · ▼ negative (Source: Peterborough Telegraph)
- Club managementPeterborough United · ▼ negative (Source: Football Lowdown)
- InjuryLuton Town · ▼ negative (Source: Bernews)
- FormLuton Town · ▲ positive (Source: Vital Football)
- MoraleLuton Town · ▲ positive (Source: Vital Football)
- SquadLuton Town · ▲ positive (Source: Football Lowdown)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Peterborough United vs Luton Town?
The model's pick is Luton Town win with 50%. Probabilities: Peterborough United 28%, draw 23%, Luton Town 50%.
What is the recent form of Peterborough United and Luton Town?
Peterborough United: D L D W L (5 pts from the last 5). Luton Town: W W W L W (12 pts).
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