Erzurumspor vs Çorum FK prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Erzurumspor a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Çorum FK 38%. Predicted score: 1–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%). Final score: Erzurumspor 1–3 Çorum FK. The model's pick (Çorum FK win) was correct.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Erzurumspor | 1.25 |
| Expected goals – Çorum FK | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
| Erzurumspor scores | 71% |
| Çorum FK scores | 73% |
| Erzurumspor leads at half-time | 27% |
Last 5 matches
Erzurumspor
3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 6–4
- 24 Oct 2026Gaziantep FK (away)3–1
- 17 Oct 2026Eyüpspor (home)2–0
- 10 Oct 2026Alanyaspor (away)0–0
- 20 Sep 2026Samsunspor (home)1–0
- 11 Sep 2026Beşiktaş (away)0–3
Çorum FK
3W 0D 2L · 9 pts · goals 11–6
- 25 Oct 2026Göztepe (away)0–2
- 16 Oct 2026Çaykur Rizespor (home)2–1
- 11 Oct 2026Gaziantep FK (away)3–0
- 19 Sep 2026Alanyaspor (home)1–2
- 12 Sep 2026Samsunspor (away)5–1
Erzurumspor has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Erzurumspor 1–1 Çorum FK | 13% |
| Erzurumspor 0–1 Çorum FK | 9% |
| Erzurumspor 1–0 Çorum FK | 9% |
| Erzurumspor 0–0 Çorum FK | 8% |
| Erzurumspor 1–2 Çorum FK | 8% |
| Erzurumspor 2–1 Çorum FK | 8% |
How reliable is this pick?
Low confidence
The model's favourite (Çorum FK win) gets 38%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryErzurumspor · ▼ negative (Source: Eskişehir Durum)
- FormErzurumspor · ▲ positive (Source: Mynet)
- CoachÇorum FK · ▲ positive (Source: Son Dakika)
- FormÇorum FK · ▼ negative (Source: Mynet)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Erzurumspor vs Çorum FK?
The model's pick is Çorum FK win with 38%. Probabilities: Erzurumspor 35%, draw 28%, Çorum FK 38%.
What is the recent form of Erzurumspor and Çorum FK?
Erzurumspor: W W D W L (10 pts from the last 5). Çorum FK: L W W L W (9 pts).
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