Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction
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Skorbot's model gives Sport Lisboa e Benfica a 85% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Lech Poznan 5%. Predicted score: 2–0. The single most likely exact score is 3–0 (11%).
Updated:
Result probabilities
Strong pick (≥ 60%)
Goals
| Expected goals – Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 3.22 |
| Expected goals – Lech Poznan | 0.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica scores | 96% |
| Lech Poznan scores | 52% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leads at half-time | 65% |
Last 5 matches
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
3W 0D 0L · 9 pts · goals 10–2
- 22 Oct 2026Omonia Nicosia (away)4–1
- 15 Oct 2026Celtic (home)4–1
- 16 Sep 2026AC Milan (away)2–0
Lech Poznan
0W 1D 2L · 1 pts · goals 1–9
- 22 Oct 2026Sunderland (home)1–1
- 15 Oct 2026Bayer 04 Leverkusen (home)0–4
- 17 Sep 2026Crystal Palace (away)0–4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 Lech Poznan | 11% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–0 Lech Poznan | 10% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4–0 Lech Poznan | 9% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–1 Lech Poznan | 8% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–1 Lech Poznan | 7% |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4–1 Lech Poznan | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
The model's favourite (Sport Lisboa e Benfica win) gets 85%. When the favourite's probability was between 80% and 100%, it won 88% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- FormSport Lisboa e Benfica · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionSport Lisboa e Benfica · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
- FormLech Poznan · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- Fixture congestionLech Poznan · ▼ negative (Source: Ekstraklasa)
- MoraleLech Poznan · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
The model's pick is Sport Lisboa e Benfica win with 85%. Probabilities: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 85%, draw 10%, Lech Poznan 5%.
What is the predicted score for Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
2–0. The single most likely exact score is 3–0 at 11%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 50%. Expected goals: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3.22, Lech Poznan 0.73.
What is the recent form of Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Lech Poznan?
Sport Lisboa e Benfica: W W W (9 pts from the last 5). Lech Poznan: D L L (1 pts).
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