Auxerre vs Paris prediction
Ligue 1 Upcoming
Skorbot's predicted score
Skorbot's model gives Auxerre a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paris 55%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (11%).
Updated:
This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.
Goals
| Expected goals – Auxerre | 1.07 |
| Expected goals – Paris | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
| Auxerre scores | 66% |
| Paris scores | 84% |
| Auxerre leads at half-time | 20% |
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Auxerre 1–1 Paris | 11% |
| Auxerre 1–2 Paris | 10% |
| Auxerre 0–1 Paris | 10% |
| Auxerre 0–2 Paris | 9% |
| Auxerre 0–0 Paris | 6% |
| Auxerre 1–3 Paris | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Paris win) gets 55%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Last 5 matches
Auxerre
2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 8–12
- 1 Nov 2026Strasbourg (away)1–5
- 25 Oct 2026Le Mans (home)1–1
- 18 Oct 2026Le Havre AC (away)3–1
- 11 Oct 2026Stade Rennais FC 1901 (away)1–4
- 20 Sep 2026Brest (home)2–1
Paris
3W 0D 2L · 9 pts · goals 10–8
- 1 Nov 2026AS Monaco (home)3–1
- 24 Oct 2026Racing Club de Lens (away)1–2
- 18 Oct 2026Stade Rennais FC 1901 (home)4–3
- 10 Oct 2026Lorient (away)0–1
- 19 Sep 2026Strasbourg (home)2–1
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Team news read by AI
- InjuryAuxerre · ▲ positive (Source: Asaase Radio)
- MoraleAuxerre · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
- InjuryAuxerre · ▲ positive (Source: L'Yonne Républicaine)
- FormParis · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris?
The model's pick is Paris win with 55%. Probabilities: Auxerre 21%, draw 24%, Paris 55%.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Paris?
1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 11%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Auxerre vs Paris?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 56%. Expected goals: Auxerre 1.07, Paris 1.82.
What is the recent form of Auxerre and Paris?
Auxerre: L D W L W (7 pts from the last 5). Paris: W L W L W (9 pts).
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