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Leipzig vs Augsburg prediction

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LeipzigAugsburg

Skorbot's predicted scoreStrong pick (≥ 60%)

66%Leipzig17%Draw16%Augsburg

Skorbot's model gives Leipzig a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Augsburg 16%. Predicted score: 2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 (9%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – Leipzig2.70
Expected goals – Augsburg1.33
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams score69%
Leipzig scores93%
Augsburg scores73%
Leipzig leads at half-time51%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Leipzig 2–1 Augsburg9%
Leipzig 3–1 Augsburg8%
Leipzig 1–1 Augsburg7%
Leipzig 2–0 Augsburg6%
Leipzig 3–0 Augsburg6%
Leipzig 2–2 Augsburg6%

How reliable is this pick?

High confidence

The model's favourite (Leipzig win) gets 66%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

Leipzig

WWLWL

3W 0D 2L · 9 pts · goals 13–8

  • 31 Oct 2026Schalke 04 (away)2–0
  • 24 Oct 2026SV 07 Elversberg (home)4–0
  • 17 Oct 2026Bayern (away)1–6
  • 10 Oct 2026Frankfurt (home)6–0
  • 20 Sep 2026Bayer 04 Leverkusen (away)0–2

Augsburg

LDLDL

0W 2D 3L · 2 pts · goals 9–12

  • 31 Oct 2026SC Freiburg (home)1–2
  • 24 Oct 20261. FC Union Berlin (home)1–1
  • 17 Oct 2026SV 07 Elversberg (away)3–4
  • 10 Oct 2026Bayern (home)2–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Werder (away)2–3

Leipzig has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.

Augsburg is winless in 6. In 4,215 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 31%, drew 27%, lost 42%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Team news read by AI

  • Fixture congestionLeipzig · ▼ negative (Source: Sky Sports)
  • InjuryAugsburg · ▼ negative (Source: Augsburger Allgemeine)
  • FormAugsburg · ▼ negative (Source: WELT)
  • Fixture congestionAugsburg · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win Leipzig vs Augsburg?

The model's pick is Leipzig win with 66%. Probabilities: Leipzig 66%, draw 17%, Augsburg 16%.

What is the predicted score for Leipzig vs Augsburg?

2–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 at 9%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Leipzig vs Augsburg?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 69%. Expected goals: Leipzig 2.70, Augsburg 1.33.

What is the recent form of Leipzig and Augsburg?

Leipzig: W W L W L (9 pts from the last 5). Augsburg: L D L D L (2 pts).

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