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PSG vs ES Troyes AC prediction

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PSGES Troyes AC

Skorbot's predicted scoreStrong pick (≥ 60%)

87%PSG8%Draw4%ES Troyes AC

Skorbot's model gives PSG a 87% chance of winning, the draw 8% and ES Troyes AC 4%. Predicted score: 3–0. The single most likely exact score is 3–0 (9%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – PSG3.76
Expected goals – ES Troyes AC0.88
Over 2.5 goals84%
Both teams score57%
PSG scores98%
ES Troyes AC scores58%
PSG leads at half-time69%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
PSG 3–0 ES Troyes AC9%
PSG 4–0 ES Troyes AC8%
PSG 3–1 ES Troyes AC8%
PSG 4–1 ES Troyes AC7%
PSG 2–0 ES Troyes AC7%
PSG 5–0 ES Troyes AC6%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (PSG win) gets 87%. When the favourite's probability was between 80% and 100%, it won 88% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

PSG

WWWWW

5W 0D 0L · 15 pts · goals 15–4

  • 30 Oct 2026Le Havre AC (away)5–1
  • 26 Oct 2026Olympique Lyonnais (home)2–0
  • 17 Oct 2026Strasbourg (away)3–1
  • 10 Oct 2026Le Mans (home)3–1
  • 20 Sep 2026Olympique de Marseille (away)2–1

ES Troyes AC

WDLLL

1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 3–7

  • 31 Oct 2026Le Mans (home)2–0
  • 25 Oct 2026Toulouse (away)0–0
  • 17 Oct 2026Racing Club de Lens (home)1–3
  • 11 Oct 2026Olympique de Marseille (home)0–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Angers (away)0–2

PSG has won 6 in a row. In 1,291 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 56%, drew 24%, lost 20%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Team news read by AI

  • InjuryPSG · ▼ negative (Source: RMC Sport, CANAL+)
  • FormPSG · ▲ positive (Source: PSG Post, But! Football Club)
  • RotationPSG · ▼ negative (Source: PSG Post, L'Équipe)
  • FormES Troyes AC · ▼ negative (Source: SportyTrader, L'Est éclair)
  • Fixture congestionES Troyes AC · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Make your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win PSG vs ES Troyes AC?

The model's pick is PSG win with 87%. Probabilities: PSG 87%, draw 8%, ES Troyes AC 4%.

What is the predicted score for PSG vs ES Troyes AC?

3–0. The single most likely exact score is 3–0 at 9%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in PSG vs ES Troyes AC?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams scoring at 57%. Expected goals: PSG 3.76, ES Troyes AC 0.88.

What is the recent form of PSG and ES Troyes AC?

PSG: W W W W W (15 pts from the last 5). ES Troyes AC: W D L L L (4 pts).

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