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Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg prediction

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DortmundSV 07 Elversberg

Skorbot's predicted scoreStrong pick (≥ 60%)

75%Dortmund15%Draw11%SV 07 Elversberg

Skorbot's model gives Dortmund a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SV 07 Elversberg 11%. Predicted score: 3–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 (8%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – Dortmund2.94
Expected goals – SV 07 Elversberg1.08
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams score63%
Dortmund scores95%
SV 07 Elversberg scores66%
Dortmund leads at half-time57%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Dortmund 2–1 SV 07 Elversberg8%
Dortmund 3–1 SV 07 Elversberg8%
Dortmund 2–0 SV 07 Elversberg8%
Dortmund 3–0 SV 07 Elversberg8%
Dortmund 4–1 SV 07 Elversberg6%
Dortmund 1–1 SV 07 Elversberg6%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (Dortmund win) gets 75%. When the favourite's probability was between 70% and 80%, it won 78% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

Dortmund

DWDDW

2W 3D 0L · 9 pts · goals 6–4

  • 31 Oct 2026Bayern (away)2–2
  • 24 Oct 2026Frankfurt (home)1–0
  • 17 Oct 20261. FC Union Berlin (away)0–0
  • 9 Oct 2026Werder (home)2–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Stuttgart (away)1–0

SV 07 Elversberg

WLWLD

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 8–9

  • 30 Oct 2026Mainz (home)4–1
  • 24 Oct 2026Leipzig (away)0–4
  • 17 Oct 2026Augsburg (home)4–3
  • 10 Oct 20261. FC Union Berlin (away)0–1
  • 20 Sep 2026Schalke 04 (away)0–0

Dortmund is unbeaten in 8. In 1,954 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 46%, drew 27%, lost 27%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Team news read by AI

  • Fixture congestionDortmund · ▼ negative (Source: The False 9)
  • InjuryDortmund · ▼ negative (Source: Goal.com)
  • SquadDortmund · ▼ negative (Source: Heute)
  • InjuryDortmund · ▼ negative (Source: Goal.com)
  • MoraleDortmund · ▲ positive (Source: RevierSport online)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg?

The model's pick is Dortmund win with 75%. Probabilities: Dortmund 75%, draw 15%, SV 07 Elversberg 11%.

What is the predicted score for Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg?

3–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–1 at 8%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 63%. Expected goals: Dortmund 2.94, SV 07 Elversberg 1.08.

What is the recent form of Dortmund and SV 07 Elversberg?

Dortmund: D W D D W (9 pts from the last 5). SV 07 Elversberg: W L W L D (7 pts).

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