Milan vs Inter prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Milan a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Inter 48%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (11%). Final score: Milan 3–1 Inter. The model's pick (Inter win) was wrong.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Milan | 1.28 |
| Expected goals – Inter | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
| Milan scores | 72% |
| Inter scores | 82% |
| Milan leads at half-time | 24% |
Last 5 matches
Milan
3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 11–7
- 28 Oct 2026Bologna (home)2–4
- 25 Oct 2026Udinese (away)2–0
- 18 Oct 2026Atalanta (home)3–2
- 11 Oct 2026Sassuolo (away)1–1
- 20 Sep 2026Lecce (home)3–0
Inter
4W 1D 0L · 13 pts · goals 12–4
- 28 Oct 2026Venezia (away)2–0
- 25 Oct 2026Fiorentina (home)2–1
- 17 Oct 2026Bologna (away)3–1
- 10 Oct 2026Parma (home)3–0
- 19 Sep 2026AS Roma (away)2–2
Inter has won 4 in a row. In 2,394 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 47%, drew 24%, lost 28%.
Inter is unbeaten in 9. In 1,415 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 49%, drew 24%, lost 26%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Milan 1–1 Inter | 11% |
| Milan 1–2 Inter | 9% |
| Milan 0–1 Inter | 8% |
| Milan 0–2 Inter | 7% |
| Milan 2–1 Inter | 7% |
| Milan 2–2 Inter | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Inter win) gets 48%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryMilan · ▼ negative (Source: Goal.com)
- Fixture congestionMilan · ▼ negative (Source: Milan fixtures)
- SquadMilan · ▲ positive (Source: Il Giornale d'Italia)
- FormMilan · ▼ negative (Source: Milan fixtures)
- CoachMilan · ▼ negative (Source: Sky Sport)
- SquadInter · ▼ negative (Source: SOS Fanta)
- RotationInter · ▼ negative (Source: La Gazzetta dello Sport)
- FormInter · ▲ positive (Source: Inter fixtures)
- Fixture congestionInter · ▼ negative (Source: Inter fixtures)
- CoachInter · ▼ negative (Source: Sky Sport)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Milan vs Inter?
The model's pick is Inter win with 48%. Probabilities: Milan 28%, draw 25%, Inter 48%.
What is the recent form of Milan and Inter?
Milan: L W W D W (10 pts from the last 5). Inter: W W W W D (13 pts).
More Serie A predictions
- 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30Milan – BolognaResult 2–4 · Predicted 1–0 ✗
- 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30Venezia – InterResult 0–2 · Predicted 1–2 ✓
- 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45Genoa – JuventusResult 2–0 · Predicted 0–1 ✗
- 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45Monza – NapoliResult 1–4 · Predicted 1–2 ✓
- 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00Frosinone – TorinoFrosinone win 45% · 3–2
- 1 Nov 2026 · 19:45Juventus – NapoliJuventus win 42% · 1–0
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