Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne prediction
Finished
Skorbot's model gives Guingamp a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saint-Étienne 53%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%). Final score: Guingamp 3–0 Saint-Étienne. The model's pick (Saint-Étienne win) was wrong.
Updated:
Result probabilities
Goals
| Expected goals – Guingamp | 0.98 |
| Expected goals – Saint-Étienne | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
| Guingamp scores | 62% |
| Saint-Étienne scores | 81% |
| Guingamp leads at half-time | 19% |
Last 5 matches
Guingamp
2W 0D 3L · 6 pts · goals 6–7
- 23 Oct 2026Clermont Foot (away)2–0
- 16 Oct 2026Pau (home)1–2
- 9 Oct 2026AS Nancy Lorraine (away)0–1
- 19 Sep 2026Red Star FC 93 (home)1–3
- 12 Sep 2026Annecy (home)2–1
Saint-Étienne
3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 7–4
- 24 Oct 2026Nantes (home)1–0
- 17 Oct 2026Red Star FC 93 (away)1–0
- 10 Oct 2026Rodez Aveyron (home)2–0
- 19 Sep 2026Metz (away)2–2
- 12 Sep 2026Dunkerque (away)1–2
Saint-Étienne has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Guingamp 1–1 Saint-Étienne | 12% |
| Guingamp 0–1 Saint-Étienne | 11% |
| Guingamp 0–2 Saint-Étienne | 10% |
| Guingamp 1–2 Saint-Étienne | 10% |
| Guingamp 0–0 Saint-Étienne | 8% |
| Guingamp 1–0 Saint-Étienne | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Saint-Étienne win) gets 53%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Team news read by AI
- InjuryGuingamp · ▼ negative (Source: Foot National)
- InjuryGuingamp · ▼ negative (Source: Le Télégramme)
- SquadGuingamp · ▲ positive (Source: antichambre.eu)
- FansGuingamp · ▲ positive (Source: Le Télégramme)
- MotivationGuingamp · ▲ positive (Source: Actu.fr)
- InjurySaint-Étienne · ▼ negative (Source: ASSE)
- InjurySaint-Étienne · ▼ negative (Source: MadeInSaint-Etienne)
- SquadSaint-Étienne · ▲ positive (Source: EVECT.fr)
- SquadSaint-Étienne · ▲ positive (Source: Peuple-Vert.fr)
- FansSaint-Étienne · ▲ positive (Source: Le Télégramme)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
The model's pick is Saint-Étienne win with 53%. Probabilities: Guingamp 21%, draw 25%, Saint-Étienne 53%.
What is the recent form of Guingamp and Saint-Étienne?
Guingamp: W L L L W (6 pts from the last 5). Saint-Étienne: W W W D L (10 pts).
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