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Brasileirão Série A ·

Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro prediction

Upcoming

Skorbot's model gives Botafogo a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Mineiro 25%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (12%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Result probabilities

50%Botafogo25%Draw25%Atlético Mineiro

Goals

Expected goals – Botafogo1.67
Expected goals – Atlético Mineiro1.12
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score55%
Botafogo scores81%
Atlético Mineiro scores67%
Botafogo leads at half-time37%

Last 5 matches

Botafogo

LLWDL

1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 4–8

  • 29 Oct 2026Remo (away)1–2
  • 24 Oct 2026Internacional (away)0–3
  • 17 Oct 2026Chapecoense (home)1–0
  • 12 Oct 2026Coritiba (away)1–1
  • 7 Oct 2026Vasco da Gama (home)1–2

Atlético Mineiro

LLWWD

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 7–7

  • 29 Oct 2026Cruzeiro (home)0–1
  • 26 Oct 2026Flamengo (away)2–3
  • 17 Oct 2026Coritiba (home)1–0
  • 11 Oct 2026Santos (home)2–1
  • 8 Oct 2026Athletico Paranaense (away)2–2

Botafogo has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.

Atlético Mineiro has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Botafogo 1–1 Atlético Mineiro12%
Botafogo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro10%
Botafogo 2–1 Atlético Mineiro10%
Botafogo 2–0 Atlético Mineiro9%
Botafogo 0–0 Atlético Mineiro7%
Botafogo 1–2 Atlético Mineiro6%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (Botafogo win) gets 50%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • FormBotafogo · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • InjuryBotafogo · ▼ negative (Source: ge)
  • MoraleBotafogo · ▼ negative (Source: LANCE!)
  • SquadBotafogo · ▼ negative (Source: Revista PLACAR)
  • FansBotafogo · ▼ negative (Source: LANCE!)
  • Fixture congestionAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: Estadão)
  • FormAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • SquadAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: iG Esportes)
  • RotationAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: Bolavip Brasil)
  • MoraleAtlético Mineiro · ▼ negative (Source: LANCE!)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro?

The model's pick is Botafogo win with 50%. Probabilities: Botafogo 50%, draw 25%, Atlético Mineiro 25%.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro?

1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 12%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Botafogo vs Atlético Mineiro?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: Botafogo 1.67, Atlético Mineiro 1.12.

What is the recent form of Botafogo and Atlético Mineiro?

Botafogo: L L W D L (4 pts from the last 5). Atlético Mineiro: L L W W D (7 pts).

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