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Brasileirão Série A ·

São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction

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Skorbot's model gives São Paulo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Corinthians 28%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (14%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Result probabilities

42%São Paulo30%Draw28%Corinthians

Goals

Expected goals – São Paulo1.24
Expected goals – Corinthians0.98
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams score45%
São Paulo scores71%
Corinthians scores62%
São Paulo leads at half-time30%

Last 5 matches

São Paulo

LDWWL

2W 1D 2L · 7 pts · goals 6–7

  • 29 Oct 2026Bahia (away)2–3
  • 24 Oct 2026Mirassol (away)1–1
  • 18 Oct 2026Vasco da Gama (home)1–0
  • 11 Oct 2026Vitória (home)2–1
  • 8 Oct 2026Cruzeiro (away)0–2

Corinthians

WLDLL

1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 7–10

  • 30 Oct 2026Mirassol (home)2–0
  • 24 Oct 2026Vasco da Gama (away)2–3
  • 19 Oct 2026Vitória (home)1–1
  • 11 Oct 2026Palmeiras (away)1–4
  • 7 Oct 2026Internacional (away)1–2

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
São Paulo 1–1 Corinthians14%
São Paulo 1–0 Corinthians13%
São Paulo 0–0 Corinthians12%
São Paulo 0–1 Corinthians10%
São Paulo 2–0 Corinthians8%
São Paulo 2–1 Corinthians8%

How reliable is this pick?

Low confidence

The model's favourite (São Paulo win) gets 42%. When the favourite's probability was between 0% and 45%, it won 41% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • InjurySão Paulo · ▼ negative (Source: UOL)
  • InjurySão Paulo · ▼ negative (Source: LANCE!)
  • MotivationSão Paulo · ▲ positive (Source: Gazeta Esportiva)
  • OtherSão Paulo · ▼ negative (Source: Instagram)
  • Club managementSão Paulo · ▼ negative (Source: Portal ABC do ABC)
  • SuspensionCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: ge)
  • SquadCorinthians · ▲ positive (Source: Estadão)
  • MotivationCorinthians · ▲ positive (Source: Goal.com)
  • CoachCorinthians · ▼ negative (Source: tmc.com.br)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Make your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win São Paulo vs Corinthians?

The model's pick is São Paulo win with 42%. Probabilities: São Paulo 42%, draw 30%, Corinthians 28%.

What is the predicted score for São Paulo vs Corinthians?

1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 14%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in São Paulo vs Corinthians?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 45%. Expected goals: São Paulo 1.24, Corinthians 0.98.

What is the recent form of São Paulo and Corinthians?

São Paulo: L D W W L (7 pts from the last 5). Corinthians: W L D L L (4 pts).

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