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Arsenal vs Hull City prediction

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ArsenalHull City

Skorbot's predicted scoreStrong pick (≥ 60%)

84%Arsenal11%Draw5%Hull City

Skorbot's model gives Arsenal a 84% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Hull City 5%. Predicted score: 2–0. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 (13%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – Arsenal2.92
Expected goals – Hull City0.60
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score43%
Arsenal scores95%
Hull City scores45%
Arsenal leads at half-time64%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Arsenal 2–0 Hull City13%
Arsenal 3–0 Hull City12%
Arsenal 4–0 Hull City9%
Arsenal 1–0 Hull City8%
Arsenal 2–1 Hull City8%
Arsenal 3–1 Hull City7%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (Arsenal win) gets 84%. When the favourite's probability was between 80% and 100%, it won 88% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

Arsenal

WWWWL

4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 6–4

  • 1 Nov 2026Liverpool (away)1–0
  • 24 Oct 2026Everton (home)2–0
  • 18 Oct 2026Forest (away)1–0
  • 10 Oct 2026Leeds (home)2–1
  • 19 Sep 2026Brighton & Hove Albion (away)0–3

Hull City

DDLDL

0W 3D 2L · 3 pts · goals 6–8

  • 31 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (home)2–2
  • 25 Oct 2026Brentford (home)1–1
  • 17 Oct 2026Fulham (away)0–1
  • 11 Oct 2026Everton (home)2–2
  • 19 Sep 2026Newcastle (away)1–2

Arsenal has won 4 in a row. In 2,394 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 47%, drew 24%, lost 28%.

Hull City has drawn 2 in a row. In 8,047 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 37%, drew 27%, lost 36%.

Hull City is winless in 7. In 2,866 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 30%, drew 25%, lost 45%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

ArsenalHull CityMake your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

The model's pick is Arsenal win with 84%. Probabilities: Arsenal 84%, draw 11%, Hull City 5%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Hull City?

2–0. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 at 13%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Hull City?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 43%. Expected goals: Arsenal 2.92, Hull City 0.60.

What is the recent form of Arsenal and Hull City?

Arsenal: W W W W L (12 pts from the last 5). Hull City: D D L D L (3 pts).

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