Fulham vs Newcastle prediction
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Skorbot's predicted score
Skorbot's model gives Fulham a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newcastle 27%. Predicted score: 1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%).
Updated:
This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.
Goals
| Expected goals – Fulham | 1.56 |
| Expected goals – Newcastle | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
| Fulham scores | 79% |
| Newcastle scores | 68% |
| Fulham leads at half-time | 35% |
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham 1–1 Newcastle | 13% |
| Fulham 1–0 Newcastle | 10% |
| Fulham 2–1 Newcastle | 9% |
| Fulham 2–0 Newcastle | 8% |
| Fulham 0–0 Newcastle | 7% |
| Fulham 0–1 Newcastle | 7% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Fulham win) gets 46%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Last 5 matches
Fulham
2W 2D 1L · 8 pts · goals 5–4
- 31 Oct 2026Aston Villa (away)1–1
- 24 Oct 2026Coventry City (away)1–0
- 17 Oct 2026Hull City (home)1–0
- 10 Oct 2026Ipswich Town (away)1–2
- 20 Sep 2026Manchester United (home)1–1
Newcastle
2W 0D 3L · 6 pts · goals 5–7
- 2 Nov 2026Everton (home)0–1
- 25 Oct 2026Crystal Palace (away)2–0
- 17 Oct 2026Aston Villa (home)0–1
- 12 Oct 2026Coventry City (away)1–4
- 19 Sep 2026Hull City (home)2–1
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Questions
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model's pick is Fulham win with 46%. Probabilities: Fulham 46%, draw 26%, Newcastle 27%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle?
1–0. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 13%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Newcastle?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. Expected goals: Fulham 1.56, Newcastle 1.14.
What is the recent form of Fulham and Newcastle?
Fulham: D W W L D (8 pts from the last 5). Newcastle: L W L L W (6 pts).
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