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Parma vs Bologna prediction

Serie A Upcoming

ParmaBologna

Skorbot's predicted score

20%Parma27%Draw52%Bologna

Skorbot's model gives Parma a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bologna 52%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 0–1 (14%).

Updated:

This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.

Goals

Expected goals – Parma0.84
Expected goals – Bologna1.50
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score45%
Parma scores57%
Bologna scores78%
Parma leads at half-time18%

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Parma 0–1 Bologna14%
Parma 1–1 Bologna13%
Parma 0–2 Bologna11%
Parma 0–0 Bologna10%
Parma 1–2 Bologna9%
Parma 1–0 Bologna7%

How reliable is this pick?

Medium confidence

The model's favourite (Bologna win) gets 52%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Last 5 matches

Parma

WDLLL

1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 4–8

  • 2 Nov 2026Atalanta (away)3–0
  • 28 Oct 2026Udinese (home)0–0
  • 24 Oct 2026Lazio (away)1–2
  • 19 Oct 2026Torino (home)0–3
  • 10 Oct 2026Inter (away)0–3

Bologna

WWWLW

4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 11–7

  • 31 Oct 2026Monza (home)2–1
  • 28 Oct 2026AC Milan (away)4–2
  • 24 Oct 2026Cagliari (away)2–0
  • 17 Oct 2026Inter (home)1–3
  • 11 Oct 2026Lecce (away)2–1

Bologna has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Team news read by AI

  • InjuryParma · ▼ negative (Source: Fantacalcio)
  • InjuryParma · ▼ negative (Source: SOS Fanta)
  • Fixture congestionParma · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • FormParma · ▼ negative (Source: ESPN)
  • FansParma · ▼ negative (Source: QS Quotidiano Sportivo)
  • FormBologna · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • InjuryBologna · ▲ positive (Source: Fantamagazine)
  • Fixture congestionBologna · ▲ positive (Source: ESPN)
  • FansBologna · ▲ positive (Source: QS Quotidiano Sportivo)
  • CoachBologna · ▲ positive (Source: QS Quotidiano Sportivo)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

ParmaBolognaMake your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win Parma vs Bologna?

The model's pick is Bologna win with 52%. Probabilities: Parma 20%, draw 27%, Bologna 52%.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs Bologna?

0–1. The single most likely exact score is 0–1 at 14%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Parma vs Bologna?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 45%. Expected goals: Parma 0.84, Bologna 1.50.

What is the recent form of Parma and Bologna?

Parma: W D L L L (4 pts from the last 5). Bologna: W W W L W (12 pts).

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