Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
La Liga Upcoming
Skorbot's predicted scoreStrong pick (≥ 60%)
Skorbot's model gives Valencia a 10% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Real Madrid 75%. Predicted score: 1–3. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 (8%).
Updated:
This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.
Goals
| Expected goals – Valencia | 1.08 |
| Expected goals – Real Madrid | 2.96 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
| Valencia scores | 66% |
| Real Madrid scores | 95% |
| Valencia leads at half-time | 13% |
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid | 8% |
| Valencia 1–3 Real Madrid | 8% |
| Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid | 8% |
| Valencia 0–3 Real Madrid | 8% |
| Valencia 1–4 Real Madrid | 6% |
| Valencia 1–1 Real Madrid | 6% |
How reliable is this pick?
The model's favourite (Real Madrid win) gets 75%. When the favourite's probability was between 70% and 80%, it won 78% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Last 5 matches
Valencia
1W 2D 2L · 5 pts · goals 6–7
- 1 Nov 2026Elche (away)1–0
- 24 Oct 2026Villarreal (home)1–2
- 17 Oct 2026Athletic (home)0–0
- 11 Oct 2026Real Racing Club (away)2–2
- 20 Sep 2026Real Sociedad de Fútbol (home)2–3
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L · 12 pts · goals 11–4
- 1 Nov 2026Real Racing Club (away)3–0
- 25 Oct 2026Barcelona (away)2–1
- 18 Oct 2026Sevilla (home)4–1
- 10 Oct 2026Villarreal (home)1–0
- 20 Sep 2026Atletico Madrid (away)1–2
Real Madrid has won 4 in a row. In 2,394 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 47%, drew 24%, lost 28%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Questions
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
The model's pick is Real Madrid win with 75%. Probabilities: Valencia 10%, draw 14%, Real Madrid 75%.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Real Madrid?
1–3. The single most likely exact score is 1–2 at 8%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Valencia vs Real Madrid?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 63%. Expected goals: Valencia 1.08, Real Madrid 2.96.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Real Madrid?
Valencia: W L D D L (5 pts from the last 5). Real Madrid: W W W W L (12 pts).
More La Liga predictions
- 20:0031 Oct 2026Barcelona61AlavésPredicted 3–1✓
- 20:002 Nov 2026RC Deportivo A Coruña21OsasunaPredicted 1–0✓
- 20:006 Nov 2026Sevilla10AlavésSevilla win 49%
- 13:007 Nov 2026Málaga10Real Racing ClubMálaga win 40%
- 15:157 Nov 2026Espanyol10RC Deportivo A CoruñaEspanyol win 41%
- 17:307 Nov 2026Osasuna01AthleticAthletic win 46%
Other matches on 7 Nov 2026
- 10:307 Nov 2026Eyüpspor01KocaelisporSüper LigKocaelispor win 47%
- 12:307 Nov 2026Leeds11SpursPremier LeagueLeeds win 36%
- 13:007 Nov 2026Samsunspor10KonyasporSüper LigSamsunspor win 41%
- 14:007 Nov 2026Cagliari12Frosinone CalcioSerie AFrosinone Calcio win 39%
- 14:007 Nov 2026Torino10LecceSerie ATorino win 54%
- 14:307 Nov 2026Dortmund31SV 07 ElversbergBundesligaDortmund win 75%Strong pick (≥ 60%)
- 14:307 Nov 2026Leipzig21AugsburgBundesligaLeipzig win 66%Strong pick (≥ 60%)
- 14:307 Nov 2026Mainz13BayernBundesligaBayern win 73%Strong pick (≥ 60%)