Osasuna vs Athletic prediction
La Liga Upcoming
Skorbot's predicted score
Skorbot's model gives Osasuna a 26% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic 46%. Predicted score: 0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (13%).
Updated:
This prediction gets its final update about 1 hour before kick-off, when the starting line-ups are announced. That last update is the most accurate one.
Goals
| Expected goals – Osasuna | 1.05 |
| Expected goals – Athletic | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
| Osasuna scores | 65% |
| Athletic scores | 77% |
| Osasuna leads at half-time | 22% |
Most likely exact scores
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Osasuna 1–1 Athletic | 13% |
| Osasuna 0–1 Athletic | 11% |
| Osasuna 1–2 Athletic | 9% |
| Osasuna 0–2 Athletic | 9% |
| Osasuna 0–0 Athletic | 9% |
| Osasuna 1–0 Athletic | 8% |
How reliable is this pick?
Medium confidence
The model's favourite (Athletic win) gets 46%. When the favourite's probability was between 45% and 55%, it won 48% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).
Last 5 matches
Osasuna
1W 1D 3L · 4 pts · goals 6–10
- 2 Nov 2026RC Deportivo A Coruña (away)1–2
- 26 Oct 2026Sevilla (away)0–2
- 18 Oct 2026Real Racing Club (home)2–0
- 11 Oct 2026Real Betis Balompié (away)2–5
- 19 Sep 2026Rayo Vallecano (home)1–1
Athletic
2W 2D 1L · 8 pts · goals 7–4
- 1 Nov 2026Real Sociedad de Fútbol (home)2–1
- 25 Oct 2026Getafe (home)4–0
- 21 Oct 2026Levante (away)1–3
- 17 Oct 2026Valencia (away)0–0
- 19 Sep 2026Alavés (home)0–0
Osasuna has lost 2 in a row. In 13,414 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 33%, drew 26%, lost 41%.
Athletic has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.
Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.
Team news read by AI
- FormOsasuna · ▼ negative (Source: fixture results)
- MotivationOsasuna · ▲ positive (Source: Noticias de Navarra)
- InjuryAthletic · ▼ negative (Source: OneFootball, naiz, Mundo Deportivo)
- SquadAthletic · ▲ positive (Source: Comuniate, Diario AS)
- FormAthletic · ▲ positive (Source: fixture results)
- MoraleAthletic · ▲ positive (Source: fixture results)
Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.
Questions
Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic?
The model's pick is Athletic win with 46%. Probabilities: Osasuna 26%, draw 27%, Athletic 46%.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Athletic?
0–1. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 13%.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Osasuna vs Athletic?
The model puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 51%. Expected goals: Osasuna 1.05, Athletic 1.47.
What is the recent form of Osasuna and Athletic?
Osasuna: L L W L D (4 pts from the last 5). Athletic: W W L D D (8 pts).
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