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Süper Lig ·

Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe prediction

Finished

Skorbot's model gives Fenerbahçe a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Göztepe 13%. Predicted score: 3–1. The single most likely exact score is 2–0 (10%). Final score: Fenerbahçe 1–2 Göztepe. The model's pick (Fenerbahçe win) was wrong.

Updated:

Result probabilities

68%Fenerbahçe19%Draw13%Göztepe

Strong pick (≥ 60%)

Goals

Expected goals – Fenerbahçe2.36
Expected goals – Göztepe0.96
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score56%
Fenerbahçe scores91%
Göztepe scores62%
Fenerbahçe leads at half-time50%

Last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe

LWWWD

3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 15–2

  • 26 Oct 2026Galatasaray (away)1–2
  • 17 Oct 2026Alanyaspor (home)3–0
  • 10 Oct 2026Çaykur Rizespor (away)3–0
  • 20 Sep 2026Eyüpspor (home)8–0
  • 14 Sep 2026Gaziantep FK (away)0–0

Göztepe

WWWDD

3W 2D 0L · 11 pts · goals 12–5

  • 25 Oct 2026Çorum FK (home)2–0
  • 18 Oct 2026Kocaelispor (away)2–1
  • 12 Oct 2026Eyüpspor (away)4–0
  • 20 Sep 2026Çaykur Rizespor (home)2–2
  • 12 Sep 2026Alanyaspor (away)2–2

Göztepe has won 3 in a row. In 5,501 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 44%, drew 26%, lost 30%.

Göztepe is unbeaten in 5. In 6,048 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 41%, drew 27%, lost 32%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Fenerbahçe 2–0 Göztepe10%
Fenerbahçe 2–1 Göztepe10%
Fenerbahçe 1–1 Göztepe9%
Fenerbahçe 1–0 Göztepe8%
Fenerbahçe 3–0 Göztepe8%
Fenerbahçe 3–1 Göztepe8%

How reliable is this pick?

High confidence

The model's favourite (Fenerbahçe win) gets 68%. When the favourite's probability was between 60% and 70%, it won 66% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • SuspensionFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: Euronews.com)
  • InjuryFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: Fotomaç)
  • CoachFenerbahçe · ▲ positive (Source: Hürriyet)
  • MoraleFenerbahçe · ▼ negative (Source: GZT)
  • FormGöztepe · ▲ positive (Source: fixture data)
  • SuspensionGöztepe · ▼ negative (Source: Haberler.com)
  • Fixture congestionGöztepe · ▲ positive (Source: fixture data)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Questions

Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe?

The model's pick is Fenerbahçe win with 68%. Probabilities: Fenerbahçe 68%, draw 19%, Göztepe 13%.

What is the recent form of Fenerbahçe and Göztepe?

Fenerbahçe: L W W W D (10 pts from the last 5). Göztepe: W W W D D (11 pts).

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