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Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş prediction

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Skorbot's model gives Kasımpaşa a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beşiktaş 60%. Predicted score: 1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 (11%).

Updated:

Result probabilities

18%Kasımpaşa22%Draw60%Beşiktaş

Goals

Expected goals – Kasımpaşa0.98
Expected goals – Beşiktaş1.97
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score54%
Kasımpaşa scores63%
Beşiktaş scores86%
Kasımpaşa leads at half-time17%

Last 5 matches

Kasımpaşa

WWLDW

3W 1D 1L · 10 pts · goals 8–5

  • 24 Oct 2026Eyüpspor (away)1–0
  • 18 Oct 2026Samsunspor (home)4–1
  • 9 Oct 2026Galatasaray (away)1–3
  • 18 Sep 2026Konyaspor (home)0–0
  • 13 Sep 2026Gençlerbirliği (away)2–1

Beşiktaş

WLWLW

3W 0D 2L · 9 pts · goals 9–6

  • 26 Oct 2026Başakşehir (home)2–0
  • 19 Oct 2026Trabzonspor (away)0–2
  • 11 Oct 2026Kocaelispor (home)2–1
  • 20 Sep 2026Amed Sportif (away)2–3
  • 11 Sep 2026Erzurumspor (home)3–0

Kasımpaşa has won 2 in a row. In 13,250 similar cases (40 leagues, six seasons) the next match ended: won 42%, drew 26%, lost 33%.

Winning runs do not signal a coming defeat: across 83,343 matches, teams that had won five in a row won their next match 50% of the time and lost 24%. League results: ESPN.

Most likely exact scores

ScoreProbability
Kasımpaşa 1–1 Beşiktaş11%
Kasımpaşa 0–2 Beşiktaş10%
Kasımpaşa 1–2 Beşiktaş10%
Kasımpaşa 0–1 Beşiktaş10%
Kasımpaşa 0–3 Beşiktaş7%
Kasımpaşa 1–3 Beşiktaş7%

How reliable is this pick?

The model's favourite (Beşiktaş win) gets 60%. When the favourite's probability was between 55% and 60%, it won 61% of the time (12 leagues, 2024–2027, 9,013 matches).

Team news read by AI

  • Fixture congestionKasımpaşa · ▼ negative (Source: beinsports.com.tr, ensondakika.com.tr)
  • MoraleKasımpaşa · ▲ positive (Source: fixture list, beinsports.com.tr)
  • InjuryBeşiktaş · ▼ negative (Source: Habertürk, Fanatik, Milliyet)
  • Fixture congestionBeşiktaş · ▼ negative (Source: fixture list, GZT)

Pre-match news items classified by AI, with their direction for each team. Details are summarised in Turkish on the Turkish page.

Watch the AI preview videoMake your own prediction in the Skorbot game (Turkish)JSON

Questions

Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

The model's pick is Beşiktaş win with 60%. Probabilities: Kasımpaşa 18%, draw 22%, Beşiktaş 60%.

What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

1–2. The single most likely exact score is 1–1 at 11%.

Will there be more than 2.5 goals in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?

The model puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 54%. Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 0.98, Beşiktaş 1.97.

What is the recent form of Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş?

Kasımpaşa: W W L D W (10 pts from the last 5). Beşiktaş: W L W L W (9 pts).

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